There's a new warning that the coronavirus pandemic could have a devastating impact on the UK's economy. The Office for Budgetary Responsibility, the government's independent economic watchdog, says that if the lockdown lasts for 3 months the economy could shrink by 35% and unemployment could rise to 10% meaning two million people would be out of work. A forecast by the UK's tax and spending watchdog suggests the coronavirus crisis will have "serious implications" for the UK economy, Chancellor Rishi Sunak has said. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) warned the pandemic could see the economy shrink by a record 35% by June. Sunak stressed that the forecast was only one possible scenario. However, he said that while the government could not protect every business and household, they came into this crisis with a fundamentally sound economy, powered by the hard work and ingenuity of the British people and British businesses.
"These are though times and they’ll be more to come but we came in to this crisis when they will fundamentally sound economy. I wish I was not see these numbers and DP trouble. I think this going to be hard, our economy will get a significant hit and I said before that’s non abstract thing that people will feel that in their job and in their household incomes. Two point about generation now, I’m very much hopefull that the measures that we put in place will allow us to do what OBR said bounce back" Sunak said.
Meanwhile Robert Chote of the office for budget responsibility (OBR) said that a three-month lockdown followed by three months of partial restrictions would trigger an economic decline of 35.1% in the quarter to June alone, following growth of 0.2% in the first three months of this year. A drop of this magnitude would be the largest in living memory.
"If you see the short of declining in GDP that we think it will be consistant with three month lockdown then you wouldn’t see a quarterly falling economy like that in living memory. The hope now that this gonna be temporary rather then permanent problem and we don’t end up staring the long term potential of the economy" Robert Chote stated
While the UK economy would contract by 12.8% this year under this scenario, it is expected to get back to its pre-crisis growth trend by the end of 2020. The OBR stressed the actual amount of growth would depend on how long the lockdown lasted, as well as how quickly activity bounced back once restrictions were relaxed. In any case, it expects half of any sharp drop in growth in the second quarter to be reversed in the three months to September as the economy starts to recover//NK
Indonesian government’s spokesman for COVID-19 handling, Achmad Yurianto, during the daily press briefing on COVID-19, announced on Wednesday that 10 Indonesian cities and districts had enacted the Large-Scale Social Distancing (PSBB) protocols to contain the coronavirus transmission. As stated by Antara News Agency on Wednesday, Jakarta is the first area to have adopted such measure, followed by Bogor City, Bogor District, Depok City, Bekasi City, Bekasi District, Tangerang City, Tangerang District, and South Tangerang City, which are all neighboring the capital, as well as Pekanbaru City. The government urged people to abide by the PSBB guidelines, including limiting their social activities in public and maintaining a distance of two meters between one another. Indonesia reported a total of 5,136 confirmed positive cases for coronavirus infection after testing through the real-time PCR method on 11,165 patients under surveillance (PDP) until April 15. (ANTARA)
Indonesian President Joko Widodo is giving priority to economic stimulus for micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), which contribute 60 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP) and employ 97 percent of the people. As quoted by Antara News Agency, Minister of Cooperatives and SMEs, Teten Masduki, on Wednesday in Jakarta stated that based on the President's instruction, economic stimulus is (being) prioritized for MSMEs because this sector contributes to 60 percent of the GDP and employs up to 97 percent (of the total population). The stimulus policy is directed at MSMEs because 99 percent of business operators in Indonesia is engaged in the MSME sector, and the majority of such enterprises are micro-businesses. Therefore, Teten noted, President Joko Widodo has requested that the MSME loan restructuring program be expanded. (ANTARA)
The Indonesian military has stepped up security along the border with Malaysia to prevent potential coronavirus transmissions from people entering the country illegally. As quoted by Antara News Agency, Commander of the Indonesian Defense Forces (TNI), Air Chief Marshal Hadi Tjahjanto in a virtual working meeting on Wednesday with Commission I of the House of Representatives stated that for instance, along the border in Kalimantan, there are thousands of illegal routes and also legal routes guarded by the TNI and Malaysian military.
Three days ago, Malaysia withdrew its soldiers from joint cross-border posts after the country imposed a lockdown on account of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, Tjahjanto said he has instructed TNI personnel to remain at the joint posts as well as other posts along illegal routes//Ant